Alex's Outlook

Friday, March 21, 2003

The war is going extremely well. American forces have more or less secured southern Iraq; the 51st division (8,000 strong) has apparently surrendered en masse to coalition forces. The oil in southern Iraq is intact. Aside from a freak helicopter crash, coalition fatalities number 2 dead Americans.

Several top Iraqi officials - governor/general/cousin of Saddam "Chemical Ali", Taha Yassin Ramadan and Izzat al-Douri - are apparently dead. Uday Hussein, Saddam's semi-insane older son, is missing. Although Bush missed Saddam in the bunker-buster raid, he apparently wiped out the senior Iraqi leadership. This might explain the complete disorganization of Iraqi resistance. Civilian casualties are very light so far. At the rate the coalition is advancing, allied tanks could be in Baghdad by Monday.

The only worrisome development is the Turks' decision to send 10,000 troops into northern Iraq. The lack of American forces there could lead to fighting between the Turks and the Kurds, which would immediately mess everything up.

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