Alex's Outlook

Wednesday, February 18, 2004

Kerry lead evaporates 

Now I'm really starting to get concerned. Kerry's lead against Bush has evaporated two weeks too soon. The Kerry bubble needs to stay alive until after Super Tuesday on March 2, so he can clinch the nomination.

Edwards is getting some serious momentum from his 39-35 "loss" (victory) in Wisconsin. With Dean's final collapse, if Edwards gets Dean's endorsement we will once again have a race. The problem is that Kerry's support is largely predicated on "electability," and the Polier affair may be giving some Democrats second thoughts. Electability is a rather precarious base, and it could be that the Democrats' support is lurching to Edwards because they now perceive him as more electable than Kerry. Which would be sad. Hang tough, JFK!


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