Alex's Outlook

Tuesday, February 03, 2004

Predictions

Kerry wins everywhere except Oklahoma and South Carolina. Leaning Edwards for both, but Clark could win Oklahoma. Kerry has a good chance of carrying SC, too.

Any of the top three (Kerry, Edwards, Clark) could carry North Dakota. It counts for something just because it could give Clark's or Edwards' campaign some much-needed bragging rights.

Kerry has effectively been anointed frontrunner. He will win Missouri, Arizona and New Mexico without trouble. If he carries SC and Oklahoma too, I think he'll have the nomination cinched.

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